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Gulaq Blog

Insights on new-age investing.

Quant strategies, market-cap guides and wealth-building ideas — clear, jargon-free, and data-driven.

Latest articles
Why real market opportunities are hard to find
Basics of InvestingLong-Term Investing

Why real market opportunities are hard to find

In 2000–02, Amazon tumbled by 90%. Obviously, many sold it. And today, it is a top US stock. How do you know when a business is right?

Team Gulaq · 31 Jul 2026
Why doing too much is holding back your returns

Why doing too much is holding back your returns

The ability to do nothing is so powerful for your portfolio Most investors believe that building wealth requires making lots of smart investment decisions. But what if the biggest contributor to your returns was the decisions you didn't make?

Team Gulaq · 22 Jun 2026
How to keep calm amid market volatility

How to keep calm amid market volatility

Stay rooted in principles and don’t follow the herd Sir Isaac Newton is widely regarded as one of the greatest minds in human history. He formulated the laws of motion, developed calculus, and transformed our understanding of the physical world.

Team Gulaq · 11 Jun 2026
Why We Built Gear 6A for Mutual Funds — And How It Works

Why We Built Gear 6A for Mutual Funds — And How It Works

India's mutual fund industry now manages over ₹82 lakh crore. There are 2,500+ schemes across 44 AMCs. And with that many options, we've seen most investors do the same thing. They open App, sort by 1-year returns, and pick whatever's on top.

Team Gulaq · 30 Mar 2026
Smart Beta Strategies: What Investors Should Know Before Investing

Smart Beta Strategies: What Investors Should Know Before Investing

As of August 2025, Indian mutual fund AUM is sitting at around ₹77 lakh crores and is on its way to cross ₹100 lakh crores very soon.

Team Gulaq · 11 Sept 2025
Process Matters More Than Outcome

Process Matters More Than Outcome

I have spent nearly a decade of my life trading energy derivatives, and today I want to tell the story of my biggest win, which coincidentally was also my biggest mistake.

Team Gulaq · 7 May 2025
Is Market Cap the Best Way to Build an Index?

Is Market Cap the Best Way to Build an Index?

Nifty 50 is a free-float weighted index – a slight variation of market cap weighted wherein we exclude promoter or government ownership. It is the most popular index in India and over the last 5 years it has delivered close to 22% returns.

Team Gulaq · 30 Apr 2025
3 Books That Changed How I Think About Risk and Markets

3 Books That Changed How I Think About Risk and Markets

Over the past two decades, I’ve built a quiet but consistent habit — reading.

Team Gulaq · 23 Apr 2025
All Nifty Bees Are Equal — But Some Are More Equal Than Others

All Nifty Bees Are Equal — But Some Are More Equal Than Others

The title, inspired by George Orwell’s classic Animal Farm, perfectly captures the essence of this blog’s topic – Index Funds.

Team Gulaq · 16 Apr 2025
Investing with Confidence by Prioritizing Fundamentals in Volatile Markets

Investing with Confidence by Prioritizing Fundamentals in Volatile Markets

Investing in the stock market is a roller-coaster ride. Recent global trade tensions, heavy outflows from foreign institutional investors (FIIs), and weak corporate earnings have all contributed to an environment of heightened volatility. Weak inflow data from AMFI further indicates that investors are increasingly hesitant to commit capital.

Team Gulaq · 9 Apr 2025
How Has Gulaq Gear 6 Performed?

How Has Gulaq Gear 6 Performed?

FY25 is now officially in the rearview mirror, and with that, our flagship portfolio — Gulaq Gear 6 — has built almost five years of a live track record.

Team Gulaq · 2 Apr 2025
Myopia

Myopia

Myopia is an illness that prevents people from seeing distant objects clearly. It’s a very common condition—over ten million people suffer from it every year in India. While there are no official statistics, I am certain that this illness consumes far more people in the investment community than in medicine.

Team Gulaq · 25 Mar 2025
Problem of Investing with Star Fund Managers

Problem of Investing with Star Fund Managers

Investors have long elevated certain fund managers to celebrity status, creating a cult-like following around them. These star managers wield immense influence over the investing community

Team Gulaq · 14 Feb 2025
SEBI Mandates Disclosure of Information Ratio for Mutual Funds

SEBI Mandates Disclosure of Information Ratio for Mutual Funds

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI), in its latest circular, has mandated that all Asset Management Companies (AMCs) disclose a risk-adjusted return measure

Team Gulaq · 7 Feb 2025
The Sachet Revolution of The Mutual Fund Industry

The Sachet Revolution of The Mutual Fund Industry

The Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has released a consultation paper seeking public opinion on introducing sachetized mutual fund products—small-ticket SIPs of ₹250.

Team Gulaq · 31 Jan 2025
Long Alpha Performance Deep Dive: 2024

Long Alpha Performance Deep Dive: 2024

The year 2024 proved to be eventful for both the financial markets and Estee’s PMS – Long Alpha. We started the year with a bang, delivering approximately 10% return in January, significantly outperforming the BSE 500’s 2% return.

Team Gulaq · 21 Jan 2025
Gulaq Market Cap Portfolios

Gulaq Market Cap Portfolios

Gulaq is the retail investment advisory arm of Estee Advisors, a company with almost two decades of experience in creating quantitative investment products for institutional

Team Gulaq · 10 Jan 2025
Multicap vs. Felxicap: Which One Should You Invest In?

Multicap vs. Felxicap: Which One Should You Invest In?

If you don’t understand the difference between multicap and flexicap funds, you’re not alone.

Team Gulaq · 31 Oct 2024
Skill vs. Luck – What Drives Investment Returns?

Skill vs. Luck – What Drives Investment Returns?

In stock market a good decision can lead to a bad outcome and a bad decision can lead to a good outcome. Luck plays a big role in investment outcomes but is often overlooked—sometimes intentionally.

Team Gulaq · 25 Oct 2024
The Evolution of Factor-Based Investing

The Evolution of Factor-Based Investing

Imagine you’re a student preparing for an important exam. What are the factors you think will determine your score?

Team Gulaq · 23 Aug 2024
How Investors Lost Money in Peter Lynch’s Magellan Fund

How Investors Lost Money in Peter Lynch’s Magellan Fund

The Magellan Fund, managed by Peter Lynch from 1977 to 1990, is legendary in the world of investing. Under Lynch’s rein, the fund delivered an average annual return of 29%, making it one of the most successful mutual funds of all time.

Team Gulaq · 20 Aug 2024
Time In The Market > Timing The Market

Time In The Market > Timing The Market

Imagine if taking a few days off your work cost you your entire salary. Sounds extreme, right? Who would want to work in a place like that

Team Gulaq · 9 Aug 2024
Identifying Overvalued Stocks: A Proof by Contradiction Approach

Identifying Overvalued Stocks: A Proof by Contradiction Approach

Proof by contradiction is a logical method used in mathematics to prove a statement by assuming the opposite of what you want to prove. If this assumption leads to a logical contradiction or an absurd conclusion, then the original statement must be true.

Team Gulaq · 24 Jul 2024
Debt Funds Deep Dive

Debt Funds Deep Dive

Debt Funds are funds that invest primarily in fixed income securities of government and corporates. As of May 2024, it has over Rs. 15 lakh crore in assets under management (AUM) – about 26% of the total AUM in the industry. In this blog, we are going to take a deep dive into debt mutual funds.

Team Gulaq · 8 Jul 2024
Equity Mutual Fund Deep Dive

Equity Mutual Fund Deep Dive

SEBI classifies mutual funds into five broad categories: Debt, Equity, Hybrid, Solution-oriented, and Others. In terms of Asset Under Management (AUM), Equity leads the pack by a mile as the most popular option among investors.

Team Gulaq · 24 Jun 2024
Why Investors Are Hard-Wired for Short-Term Thinking

Why Investors Are Hard-Wired for Short-Term Thinking

An analysis done by Reuters revealed that an average investor holds shares for a mere 5.5 months before selling them for an uncountable number of reasons.

Team Gulaq · 7 Jun 2024
Mutual Fund Categories Deep Dive

Mutual Fund Categories Deep Dive

The Assets Under Management (AUM) of Indian Mutual Fund Industry stands at ₹57L Cr as on April 30, 2024, up from ₹41L Cr a year ago. That’s a massive year-on-year growth of 38%. In April month alone, we saw a net influx of ₹2.4L Cr. [Source: AMFI]

Team Gulaq · 31 May 2024
Estee Quant PMS Performance Deep Dive FY23-24

Estee Quant PMS Performance Deep Dive FY23-24

Estee Advisors was founded in 2008 with a vision of making investment decisions using sophisticated quantitative models. Over the past 15+ years, Estee has developed leading investment and broking products using analytics and computer science

Team Gulaq · 24 May 2024
Factor Investing Performance Analysis

Factor Investing Performance Analysis

FY23-24 was a great year for equity markets. Nifty 500 itself delivered more than a 40% total return.

Team Gulaq · 17 May 2024
Financial Planning for People in 20s

Financial Planning for People in 20s

Your 20s are the decade where you lay the foundation upon which you build your future life. If you wish to build a castle, you must start laying a solid foundation early on.

Team Gulaq · 3 May 2024
Prospect Theory

Prospect Theory

As much as investors like to consider themselves rational, the fact of the matter is that most are unable to maintain their rationality when times get tough.

Team Gulaq · 29 Apr 2024
Tax Harvesting: How to Reduce Your Tax Burden?

Tax Harvesting: How to Reduce Your Tax Burden?

FY 23-24 has been great for Gulaq. We were able to generate phenomenal returns for our investors, but with the financial year about to end, you’ll soon have to pay taxes on all those returns that you made.

Team Gulaq · 12 Apr 2024
Don’t Miss the Forest for The Trees: Why Maxing Out the Rs. 1.5 Lakh Limit on Your PPF Before 5th of April Is Not Worth the Hype

Don’t Miss the Forest for The Trees: Why Maxing Out the Rs. 1.5 Lakh Limit on Your PPF Before 5th of April Is Not Worth the Hype

As the financial year has ended, the buzz around investing the entire Rs. 1.5 lakh limit into your Public Provident Fund (PPF) account before April 5th intensifies. While on the surface, it seems like a prudent decision. If you ask me, it’s not worth the hype. Let me explain.

Team Gulaq · 3 Apr 2024
Why Active Fund Investing is so hard?

Why Active Fund Investing is so hard?

Would you consider investing in a fund that has significantly trailed its benchmark over the past one year? Many would likely hesitate, although some might still be swayed if that fund has a strong historical track record.

Team Gulaq · 15 Mar 2024
Halo Effect can be Dangerous to your Portfolio!

Halo Effect can be Dangerous to your Portfolio!

Charlie Munger once famously said, "It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.

Team Gulaq · 9 Feb 2024
10-Year Performance Comparison of Large Cap, Mid Cap, & Small Cap

10-Year Performance Comparison of Large Cap, Mid Cap, & Small Cap

If you had invested Rs.100 each in Large-Cap, Mid-Cap, & Small-Cap, what would your investment be worth today?

Team Gulaq · 2 Feb 2024
Gulaq Gear 6 Performance Deep Dive of 2023

Gulaq Gear 6 Performance Deep Dive of 2023

We launched Gulaq in 2020 as the retail arm of Estee Advisors Pvt Ltd. Estee had over a decade's worth of experience in building sophisticated quantitative algorithms for its HNIs and institutional clients.

Team Gulaq · 30 Jan 2024
Anchoring Bias

Anchoring Bias

I remember back in 2010 when Steve Jobs introduced the first iPad to the world. It was a truly revolutionary product worthy of residing in anyone’s memories, but one thing that stuck with me the most was how he chose to reveal the price of it.

Team Gulaq · 19 Jan 2024
My Prediction for 2024 (or 2044?)

My Prediction for 2024 (or 2044?)

A few years ago, a journalist reached out to me to get my views on the expected market returns for the next year.

Team Gulaq · 12 Jan 2024
Goal Planning Done Right: The Appropriate Rate of Return to Plan the Future

Goal Planning Done Right: The Appropriate Rate of Return to Plan the Future

Money is an imaginary concept! In itself, it has no value. It’s just a piece of paper or a number on your computer screen.

Team Gulaq · 5 Jan 2024
5 Market Calls Made by Howard Marks

5 Market Calls Made by Howard Marks

Howard Marks is a well-known name in the world of finance. He is the co-founder and chairman of Oaktree Capital

Team Gulaq · 29 Dec 2023
How Warren Buffet made his first Million Dollars

How Warren Buffet made his first Million Dollars

Arnold Schwarzenegger once jokingly said, “The first million is the hardest to make, so start with the second”. Well, he might have said that in a humorous way, but it is somewhat true, the first step is always the hardest.

Team Gulaq · 22 Dec 2023
Herd Mentality Bias

Herd Mentality Bias

Imagine you’re in a new city, hungry and trying to choose a place to eat. Two restaurants catch your eye—one bustling with a line of customers, and the other, nearly empty.

Team Gulaq · 15 Dec 2023
How Long Does it Take to Double Your Money?

How Long Does it Take to Double Your Money?

Building wealth through traditional means depends upon two factors – how much you save/ invest and the rate of return on investment.

Team Gulaq · 7 Dec 2023
Overconfidence Bias

Overconfidence Bias

Do you consider yourself to have an above-average intellect? If so, you’re not alone. Approximately 65% of the people who were asked this question considered themselves

Team Gulaq · 4 Dec 2023
Backtesting Gulaq Gear-6

Backtesting Gulaq Gear-6

Backtesting is a fundamental tool used to evaluate the effectiveness of a trading strategy or investment approach by applying it to the historical market data.

Team Gulaq · 3 Oct 2023
Risks Associated with Investing in Gulaq Gear-6

Risks Associated with Investing in Gulaq Gear-6

Since we went live with Gulaq portfolios in May 2020, we have learnt quite a few things about this business.

Team Gulaq · 27 Sept 2023
Market Linked Debentures

Market Linked Debentures

Market-linked Debentures (MLDs) have largely remained unpopular in India due to their high ticket sizes.

Team Gulaq · 22 Sept 2023
Seven Math Concepts with Real-World Application

Seven Math Concepts with Real-World Application

During our school days, we often asked our teachers how the concepts that we were learning were going to help us in life. Most teachers didn’t have an answer to that question and would simply dismiss us.

Team Gulaq · 25 Aug 2023
Risk of using 4% rule for your FIRE journey

Risk of using 4% rule for your FIRE journey

When it comes to saving for retirement, you face plenty of risks – market fluctuations, rising living costs, risk of outliving your savings (longevity risk), etc.

Team Gulaq · 14 Aug 2023
Deep Dive into Fractional Real Estate Investing

Deep Dive into Fractional Real Estate Investing

Real estate is the most sought-after asset class in India. Every person in the country dreams of owning a piece of land, but the high capital requirements often make it inaccessible.

Team Gulaq · 21 Jun 2023
Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) – Commercial vs Retail

Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) – Commercial vs Retail

Real Estate is the most preferred asset class of Indians. It represents a significant portion of wealth for many individuals in the country.

Team Gulaq · 7 Jun 2023
House Price Index and its shortcomings

House Price Index and its shortcomings

Housing Price Index (HPI) fails to capture the true movement in property prices.

Team Gulaq · 7 Jun 2023
Gulaq Balanced Investment Approach

Gulaq Balanced Investment Approach

Model portfolios have become a popular investment approach for retail investors lately. Investment Platforms such as smallcase

Team Gulaq · 28 Mar 2023
Setting returns expectations

Setting returns expectations

A good investment plan starts with setting the expectations right. The importance of this grows multifold in this informative age

Team Gulaq · 14 Mar 2023
Advantages of Portfolio Management Services

Advantages of Portfolio Management Services

Equity market is a growth oriented investment asset. There are multiple ways to invest in equity markets in India. Broadly there are 4 categories.

Team Gulaq · 28 Feb 2023
Myths and Reality of Quant investing

Myths and Reality of Quant investing

Would you let a machine or an algo choose the investment portfolio for you

Team Gulaq · 13 Feb 2023
Gulaq Gear 6 performance deep dive of 2022

Gulaq Gear 6 performance deep dive of 2022

Gulaq portfolios follow multi-factor investing. We track 130+ factors including fundamental, technical, and macro-economic factors in our portfolio construction process.

Team Gulaq · 6 Feb 2023
Discipline vs Luck in Markets – A Case study on Market Timing

Discipline vs Luck in Markets – A Case study on Market Timing

What would be the first question you, as an investor, think when you are looking to invest in markets? In majority of the cases

Team Gulaq · 23 Jan 2023
Decoding Smallcase Returns

Decoding Smallcase Returns

There is no doubt that smallcase has revolutionized investing for retail investors using model portfolios.

Team Gulaq · 2 Jan 2023
How to select the right smallcase portfolio?

How to select the right smallcase portfolio?

While Technology has made investment advisory affordable, retail investors are increasingly shifting towards picking model portfolios

Team Gulaq · 24 Nov 2022
Best Smallcase to invest

Best Smallcase to invest

A Smallcase is a collection of stocks. The smallcases are constructed by SEBI registered investment advisors.

Team Gulaq · 9 Nov 2022
Quant Investing

Quant Investing

Quant investing or algo investing has really picked up investors’ interest over the last couple of quarters.

Team Gulaq · 12 Oct 2022
Best portfolio management services in India

Best portfolio management services in India

Portfolio management service – often referred as PMS – can be availed by anyone who can invest a minimum of INR 50 Lakhs.

Team Gulaq · 10 Oct 2022
A deep dive into Gulaq Gear 6 Portfolio performance

A deep dive into Gulaq Gear 6 Portfolio performance

We had spent years in building and refining our quant models for Gulaq portfolios. The algorithms have produced promising backtested results. It was in 2020, we have received a green signal to go live.

Team Gulaq · 2 Sept 2022
What is an emergency fund and how to invest in it?

What is an emergency fund and how to invest in it?

Have you ever observed something while buying a new vehicle? They always give you multiple keys. You may keep driving your vehicle with a single key for years

Team Gulaq · 17 Mar 2022
3 Biggest Misunderstandings About Compound Interest

3 Biggest Misunderstandings About Compound Interest

Compound interest is one of the most powerful forces on earth. It can do great things when used to create wealth. Understanding how compound interest works is an indispensable tool for living a wealthy life.

Team Gulaq · 18 Jan 2022